The upcoming Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire will take place on January 24, 2023. You’ve certainly heard of this event even if you don’t follow politics. Especially because of its status in the world of Republican politics, you’ll want to bet on it at the top political betting sites.
But before we can make sense of the best betting strategy for this event, we should consider why this event matters so much.
After all, New Hampshire is not exactly the most important state on election night. This state awards all of four electoral votes, so an elected president isn’t likely to owe his victory to his success in New Hampshire.
However, just because New Hampshire isn’t relatively important on election night, it doesn’t follow that an event in this state can’t be important for the election.
So It Begins
One of the main reasons why this primary in New Hampshire is so important is timing and scheduling.
This is the second Republican primary, the first taking place in Iowa. The primary in New Hampshire is so important because it is so early. The public gets an early look at, ultimately, who might become the next president of the United States.
Why Does Early Matter?
You have to consider a bit how the mind works.
The public desperately wants to know who will be president. The interest is high in an event that will at least seem to offer some indication of who will be president.
The Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire is going to offer desperate minds a sense of satisfaction in helping to satiate their desire to know who will be elected president.
Media Coverage
Given the intense interest in knowing who will be president, and because the New Hampshire Republican primary offers an initial sense of who might be elected, of who one of the two main presidential nominees will be, the media coverage for this event will be expansive.
The media will devote a lot of attention to the New Hampshire Republican primary, emphasizing its significance as an early indicator of who might become president, and making it appear even more important.
You’ll see, for example, networks competing with each other to be the first one to call the winner —which is similar to how they behave even on election night.
The media’s focus on this event will thus intensify the public’s interest in its outcome. It’s also not just that the New Hampshire primary is so early. One must consider that the next Republican presidential primary isn’t until February 24 —in South Carolina.
This means that the media will have about six weeks to discuss the New Hampshire presidential primary’s outcome. Its outcome will in this way be emphasized by the media, as six weeks is a lot of time for the media to talk about it until the next Republican presidential primary.
Political Significance
To be clear, the importance of the Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire is much more than a media contrivance. Because it is early, presidential candidates use the event to gain momentum for themselves.
Certain candidates will find out that they have failed to impress the public and should drop out. This event, therefore, will weed out candidates and narrow the field.
Making a good impression is beneficial in various ways for the presidential candidates who will want to continue after New Hampshire. For example, donors deciding who to back will gauge the results of the New Hampshire primary before distributing funds that can help a candidate campaign more effectively.
Who Will Make A Good Impression?
New Hampshire is important because of its plethora of independent voters, which makes this event a fascinating and useful predictor of how a given candidate will fare in front of a national audience.
Those who impress here may be frontrunners for their party —such as Trump is— but may flounder in New Hampshire if other voters in the state like a different candidate. Upsets can absolutely happen, with Dwight D. Eisenhower providing one well-known historical example.
Since polls show many Republican voters in New Hampshire to be looking for a candidate who is not Trump, we should look to wager on someone who isn’t Trump.
Who To Bet On?
In view of her performance in the Republican presidential debates, for example, Nikki Haley is gaining momentum.
Her momentum is so strong that Ron DeSantis’ allies are stressing to the extent that they are fighting with each other over how to counter the threat that she is posing to her candidacy.
The former governor of South Carolina is collecting money and support from the likes of former candidate Tim Scott. She is investing millions of dollars in advertising for the primary event in New Hampshire, while Trump remains engaged in legal battles.
Given the large percentage of New Hampshire Republican voters looking for other options, Trump especially at -700 makes no sense. With Haley’s momentum and growing campaign efforts, she makes for a great underdog to invest in to win the Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire.
Best Bet: Nikki Haley +425 at BetOnline (find out more with our BetOnline Review)
